Fox news, which has had an attachment to a certain large private weather service, which I once worked for many moons ago, is already treating this storm as if it were a category 3 drawing a bead on New Orleans. It is as if, if it happens again, they want to be able to say "you heard it here first"...while if the storm fizzles, or hots somewhere far from New Orleans, they will fall back on "we didnt say for sure it was going to hit there." But, watching their broadcast, one can get the impression that this is just about what they are saying.
The idea is not a strange one in any private business...to convince the customer, or potential customer, that you are doing a better job. Where lives and property are at stake, I would stick with the forecasters at the National Hurricane Center, who are answerable of course for their work, but who do not waste their efforts trying to convince their listeners how well they did.
Of course, in this case, they also have the most tools to work with, such as direct contact with hurricane hunter information, the best assortment of computer models, etc.
In fact...the latest information available in the currect early morning advisory has the storm strengthening rapidly and shifts the forecast path quite a bit to the north and east from the previous forecast...taking it over Florida by Thursday or Friday...first sending it into the eastern Gulf of Mexico, then curving it into Florida from the west.
At the moment, it looks like I'll be seeing some rough weather Tuesday and Wednesday. Jon and Hope, you guys ready? Looks like you're going to have a tougher time than I will.
The cone keeps shifting east. At the moment, it'll strike just to my west, which will give us the worst of the storm on Wednesday. Happy happy joy joy.
According to that last weather undergound update, they say it will be a tropical storm when it hits around the keys ... then they upgrade it to hurricane when it moves further up Florida. ....
That doesn't make sense, it shouldn't get stronger after it hits land, even though Florida is pretty flat. I bet it bounces of southeast Florida as a tropical storm and heads into the Atlantic.
Ok Brother RHino, Do you have room in the barn...? THat picture sure looks scary..
Believe it or not, I did sleep in a barn in Rome City, I was there for a Survival Class...maybe what I learned I needed...Hey, they could of been right!!!!!
I've seen hurricanes. I've lived through hurricanes. That pic is no hurricane.
Now Raf, how do you really see a hurricane? Little pieces at a time unless you are in outer space, or maybe at 60,000 feet.
It says that is Isabel ... I would guess it is a small tornado maybe, spawned from an outer band ... it is not the whole hurricane ... that nice big curved bank ... hmmmm, not sure that could be a big tornado, just a nice shot.
ok, well, I just did a picture search for hurricane, and this was cool ... but even snopes says ... "Even if these images did depict the approach of a hurricane, they're too old to be photographs of Hurricane Isabel "
So like I said, cool pic of a nice cloud bank ... whether it is and outer band or something in the midwest, even snopes doesn't know. But snopes also said that first pic was maybe from a cyclone.
I was just trying to add some atmosphere to the thread.
Maybe someone will eventually recognize that structure. The curve in the big cloud bank seems big for a tornado, but small for a front? Even the weather channel guy didn't seem conclusive.
In the mean time, tell me if this is a hurricane ...
If I coulda found a shot of a large red splotch on Bourbon Street, I coulda said ...
Recommended Posts
GarthP2000
You can pin it right down to a dime, can ya Raf?
Edited by GarthP2000Link to comment
Share on other sites
Raf
They're no saying it's no threat to most of Florida.
I ain't buying it. :)
Link to comment
Share on other sites
moony3424
Around here, they're saying it may be a threat to the whole gulf. (but really is too early to tell, since there isn't an eye yet)
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Lifted Up
Fox news, which has had an attachment to a certain large private weather service, which I once worked for many moons ago, is already treating this storm as if it were a category 3 drawing a bead on New Orleans. It is as if, if it happens again, they want to be able to say "you heard it here first"...while if the storm fizzles, or hots somewhere far from New Orleans, they will fall back on "we didnt say for sure it was going to hit there." But, watching their broadcast, one can get the impression that this is just about what they are saying.
The idea is not a strange one in any private business...to convince the customer, or potential customer, that you are doing a better job. Where lives and property are at stake, I would stick with the forecasters at the National Hurricane Center, who are answerable of course for their work, but who do not waste their efforts trying to convince their listeners how well they did.
Of course, in this case, they also have the most tools to work with, such as direct contact with hurricane hunter information, the best assortment of computer models, etc.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Lifted Up
In fact...the latest information available in the currect early morning advisory has the storm strengthening rapidly and shifts the forecast path quite a bit to the north and east from the previous forecast...taking it over Florida by Thursday or Friday...first sending it into the eastern Gulf of Mexico, then curving it into Florida from the west.
Edited by Lifted UpLink to comment
Share on other sites
Raf
At the moment, it looks like I'll be seeing some rough weather Tuesday and Wednesday. Jon and Hope, you guys ready? Looks like you're going to have a tougher time than I will.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
topoftheworld
My prayers will be with you all.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Raf
The cone keeps shifting east. At the moment, it'll strike just to my west, which will give us the worst of the storm on Wednesday. Happy happy joy joy.
We're prepared.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
krys
Maybe it will shift further eastward -- it wouldn't take much.....
Link to comment
Share on other sites
likeaneagle
80-85 mph winds....
Getting my Hurricaine Disaster List going..
1 bottle of wine
Artichoke dip
Brie cheese baked in puff pastry
a deck of cards..heehee
lots of candles and stored delights..
Link to comment
Share on other sites
rhino
According to that last weather undergound update, they say it will be a tropical storm when it hits around the keys ... then they upgrade it to hurricane when it moves further up Florida. ....
That doesn't make sense, it shouldn't get stronger after it hits land, even though Florida is pretty flat. I bet it bounces of southeast Florida as a tropical storm and heads into the Atlantic.
That is Isabel ... but nice cloud bank there ...
Edited by rhinoLink to comment
Share on other sites
topoftheworld
That's an amazing pic, Rhino!!!
Link to comment
Share on other sites
likeaneagle
Ok Brother RHino, Do you have room in the barn...? THat picture sure looks scary..
Believe it or not, I did sleep in a barn in Rome City, I was there for a Survival Class...maybe what I learned I needed...Hey, they could of been right!!!!!
Edited by likeaneagleLink to comment
Share on other sites
Raf
Lifted, help me out on this:
I've seen hurricanes. I've lived through hurricanes. That pic is no hurricane.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
moony3424
You've made a mistake there. You only have 1 bottle of wine. What good is that for a hurricane party!
Raf, according to the properties of the pic, that was Isabel.
Edited by moony3424Link to comment
Share on other sites
likeaneagle
Ok, Mooney and all my southern friends....
Come on up!!!!!!!
Party at Carole's!!!!!!
Link to comment
Share on other sites
rhino
Now Raf, how do you really see a hurricane? Little pieces at a time unless you are in outer space, or maybe at 60,000 feet.
It says that is Isabel ... I would guess it is a small tornado maybe, spawned from an outer band ... it is not the whole hurricane ... that nice big curved bank ... hmmmm, not sure that could be a big tornado, just a nice shot.
Anyway, feel free to give your interpretation.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
likeaneagle
Ok, Mooney and all my southern friends....
Come on up!!!!!!!
Party at Carole's!!!!!!
I can teach you how to build a Debree Hutch...
I have seen that picture before, Im sure its Isabel.....
Edited by likeaneagleLink to comment
Share on other sites
Raf
It is not even a hurricane, much less Isabel.
Of course the properties say it's Isabel. How else would anyone believe that? That's why I asked Lifted, who knows weather, to weigh in.
Then I remembered Ol' Reliable.
http://www.snopes.com/photos/isabel.asp
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Raf
Now, it's headed right up my way. A few more nudges east and we'll all be in the clear!
Link to comment
Share on other sites
rhino
ok, well, I just did a picture search for hurricane, and this was cool ... but even snopes says ... "Even if these images did depict the approach of a hurricane, they're too old to be photographs of Hurricane Isabel "
So like I said, cool pic of a nice cloud bank ... whether it is and outer band or something in the midwest, even snopes doesn't know. But snopes also said that first pic was maybe from a cyclone.
I was just trying to add some atmosphere to the thread.
Maybe someone will eventually recognize that structure. The curve in the big cloud bank seems big for a tornado, but small for a front? Even the weather channel guy didn't seem conclusive.
In the mean time, tell me if this is a hurricane ...
If I coulda found a shot of a large red splotch on Bourbon Street, I coulda said ...
"there is a pic of 3 hurricanes"
Edited by rhinoLink to comment
Share on other sites
topoftheworld
Still was a neat pic, whatever it was. I like pictures of Mother Nature showing her stuff-as long as she stays away from my house. :)
Link to comment
Share on other sites
ex10
Hurricanes, suck, big time.
If it makes ya feel any better, Raf, we all here are praying for guys, alot.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
rhino
Rafs blow dryer will hit him harder than Ernesto ... cat one tops ...
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.